Poll: Clinton up 6 points in Wisconsin; Senate race neck-and-neck

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, left, stands with Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton before the first presidential debate at Hofstra University, Monday, Sept. 26, 2016, in Hempstead, N.Y. (AP Photo/ Evan Vucci)

MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) – With less than one week until election day, the Marquette University Law School Poll shows Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton holding a 6 point lead over Republican Donald Trump in the Badger State.

The poll shows Clinton with 46 percent support among likely voters to Trump’s 40 percent. Those results are close to October’s polling figures which showed Clinton with a 7-point lead.

In what’s shaping up to be a dramatic fight to the finish, the U.S. Senate race is neck-and-neck. Among likely voters, Democrat Russ Feingold has 45 percent support and Republican Ron Johnson has 44 percent support.

In October, it was Feingold 46 percent and Johnson 44 percent, and earlier this year Feingold’s lead was double digits.

Click here to view the full poll.

In Northeast Wisconsin, Trump is doing better than Clinton with a small double-digit lead. Barack Obama won this part of Wisconsin in 2008 but it swung to Mitt Romney in 2012. Trump campaigned in Green Bay recently and in Eau Claire Tuesday night. The Trump campaign has called Wisconsin a key battleground state, even though its electoral votes haven’t gone to a Republican candidate since 1984.

“I think this also goes to the electoral college. Clinton has a number of routes to an electoral college victory that don’t hinge on Wisconsin, to the extent that Donald Trump has a very narrow path to the electoral college which does run through Wisconsin,” Marquette Law School poll director Charles Franklin said.


The Marquette Poll was being conducted when news broke last Friday of the FBI’s intent to look into newly discovered emails and their relevance to the investigation of Clinton’s use of a private server while Secretary of State.

Overall, 50 percent of likely voters say they are bothered “a lot” by the Clinton email issue.

Breaking it down by day, on Friday 60 percent said they were bothered “a lot” by the email issue. But from Saturday through Monday that number fell, 48 percent said they were bothered “a lot.”

Meanwhile, the poll shows voters are still upset by a 2005 video of Donald Trump making lewd comments about women, which was made public last month. 52 percent say it bothered them “a lot.”


Voters find neither presidential candidate to be very honest. When asked if the word “honest” describes Clinton, 28 percent said yes, and 68 percent said no. For Trump, 36 percent said yes, and 61 percent said no.

When questioned about judgment, 28 percent say Trump shows good judgment, while 47 percent say Clinton shows good judgment.

People view the U.S. Senate candidates more favorably. 50 percent would use “honest” to describe Feingold, and 50 percent would use “honest” to describe Johnson.

The poll interviewed 1,401 registered voters in Wisconsin by landline and cell phone. 1,255 of those polled are identified as likely voters (those who say they are certain to vote).

The poll was conducted Oct. 26-31. The margin of error is +/-3.3 percentage points overall. Among likely voters it is +/-3.5 percentage points.