APPLETON, Wis. (WBAY) – Exit polls are giving us a better of idea of how Republican Donald Trump pulled off what appears to be an upset victory. Democrat Hillary Clinton had been ahead in just about every poll leading up to the election.
Unlike a prediction poll, which asks for people’s opinions on who they’re going to vote for, exit polls are conducted immediately after people vote and question who they supported in the election and why.
Lawrence University political science professor, Arnold Shober, believes what happened on Election Day, leading to President-elect Trump’s victory, is what Donald Trump had been saying along. Pollsters were missing a large chunk of his voters. There were a large number of Americans who turned out to vote, either for the first time or who were irregular voters, and they ended up being Trump supporters.
Exit polls showed Donald Trump wasn’t as toxic to women or Latinos and Hispanics as people thought, pulling in 29% of the Hispanic vote in the U.S. President-elect Trump had an unconventional campaign, according to Arnold Shober, and exit polls showed he had an unconventional electorate.
Shober says, “Many voters thought that Trump was not, didn’t have the temperament to be President or wasn’t qualified, and about 20% voted for him anyway. They said, for whatever reason, I can’t stand Hillary Clinton and even though I don’t think Trump is really got the juice, I’d vote for him anyway. One fifth of the voters did that.”
When it came to issues, exit polls say Wisconsinites rallied behind Donald Trump’s immigration stance and his dislike for the Trans-Pacific Trade Agreement. While voters supported Hillary Clinton and her plan for the economy, it wasn’t an issue that was very important to voters.
The exit polls also showed that despite Donald Trump’s history of making inappropriate comments about women, it was Hillary Clinton’s scandals that dragged her down.
“People who decided to vote for Clinton, had decided essentially by August or September,” says Shober. “Everything after that didn’t mean anything to them. People who supported Trump decided in the last two to three months which means all those controversies about Clinton that recurred in the last two to three weeks in the campaign were very consequential for her in Wisconsin that people finally said, ‘Enough. One scandal too many with Clinton. Trump is the right guy.'”
Arnold Shober also says the exit polls show Donald Trump has support in Wisconsin, but it’s not rock solid. Voters simply didn’t like what Hillary Clinton brought to the table, and so they’re giving President-elect Trump and opportunity to prove himself to them.